overconfidence and control illusion

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• Overconfidence effect — The overconfidence effect is a well established bias in which someone s subjective confidence in their judgments is reliably greater than their objective accuracy, especially when confidence is relatively high.[1] For example, in some quizzes,… …   Wikipedia

• HISTORICAL SURVEY: THE STATE AND ITS ANTECEDENTS (1880–2006) — Introduction It took the new Jewish nation about 70 years to emerge as the State of Israel. The immediate stimulus that initiated the modern return to Zion was the disappointment, in the last quarter of the 19th century, of the expectation that… …   Encyclopedia of Judaism

• И — Игра [game] Игра с «природой» [game with nature] Игрок  [player] Игры с ненулевой суммой [non zero sum games] …   Экономико-математический словарь

• Излишняя самоуверенность и иллюзия управления ситуацией — (Overconfidence and Control Illusion) один из эффектов, учитываемых теорией поведенческих финансов. Состоит в следующем: инвесторы полагают, что они знают больше, чем знают на самом деле. Вторая составляющая тесно связана с первой: участники… …   Экономико-математический словарь

• излишняя самоуверенность и иллюзия управления ситуацией — Один из эффектов, учитываемых теорией поведенческих финансов. Состоит в следующем: инвесторы полагают, что они знают больше, чем знают на самом деле. Вторая составляющая тесно связана с первой: участники рынка убеждены в наличии контроля над… …   Справочник технического переводчика

• Optimism bias — is the demonstrated systematic tendency for people to be overly optimistic about the outcome of planned actions. This includes over estimating the likelihood of positive events and under estimating the likelihood of negative events. Along with… …   Wikipedia

• Core self-evaluations — (CSE) represent a stable personality trait which encompasses an individual’s subconscious, fundamental evaluations about themselves, their own abilities and their own control. People who have high core self evaluations will think positively of… …   Wikipedia

• Illusory superiority — is a cognitive bias that causes people to overestimate their positive qualities and abilities and to underestimate their negative qualities, relative to others. This is evident in a variety of areas including intelligence, performance on tasks or …   Wikipedia

• United Kingdom — a kingdom in NW Europe, consisting of Great Britain and Northern Ireland: formerly comprising Great Britain and Ireland 1801 1922. 58,610,182; 94,242 sq. mi. (244,100 sq. km). Cap.: London. Abbr.: U.K. Official name, United Kingdom of Great… …   Universalium

• List of Toaru Majutsu no Index characters — This is a list of characters from the light novel series Toaru Majutsu no Index as well as its manga adaptation, spin off manga (Toaru Kagaku no Railgun), and both series anime adaptations. The series primarily takes place in Academy City, a city …   Wikipedia

• France — /frans, frahns/; Fr. /frddahonns/, n. 1. Anatole /ann nann tawl /, (Jacques Anatole Thibault), 1844 1924, French novelist and essayist: Nobel prize 1921. 2. a republic in W Europe. 58,470,421; 212,736 sq. mi. (550,985 sq. km). Cap.: Paris. 3.… …   Universalium